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Buffalo, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Buffalo NY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Buffalo NY
Issued by: National Weather Service Buffalo, NY |
| Updated: 3:58 pm EDT Apr 11, 2026 |
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Tonight
Increasing
Clouds
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Sunday
Slight Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
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Sunday
Night
Chance
Showers
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Monday
Showers and
Breezy
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Monday
Night
Showers
Likely
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Tuesday
Showers
Likely
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Tuesday
Night
Showers
Likely
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Wednesday
Showers
Likely
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Wednesday
Night
Showers
Likely
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| Lo 33 °F |
Hi 62 °F |
Lo 55 °F |
Hi 64 °F |
Lo 52 °F |
Hi 70 °F |
Lo 56 °F |
Hi 68 °F |
Lo 54 °F |
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Tonight
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Increasing clouds, with a low around 33. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Sunday
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Showers likely, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. South wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Sunday Night
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southwest wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Monday
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Showers. High near 64. Breezy, with a southwest wind 21 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. |
Monday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 2am, then a chance of showers between 2am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southwest wind 7 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Southwest wind 7 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday Night
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Showers likely before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then showers likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday
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Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Southwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday Night
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Showers likely before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Thursday Night
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Friday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 68. |
Friday Night
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Saturday
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A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Buffalo NY.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
022
FXUS61 KBUF 112320
AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
720 PM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes have been made with this update.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Much warmer but unsettled weather through much of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Much warmer but unsettled weather through much of
next week.
Surface high pressure will continue to drift east off of the New
England coast, allowing for a warm front to slide northeast across
the eastern Great Lakes Sunday afternoon and evening. With the
entrance of the warm front, a few rain showers will spread across the
region. The best coverage of shower activity will lie on the
northern edges of the forecast area, across the Niagara Frontier and
the eastern Lake Ontario region, due to the close proximity to the
deeper moisture and strong isentropic lift.
The upcoming work week will feature a zonal to weakly ridged flow
aloft across the eastern CONUS...with multiple weak to modest
shortwave disturbances rippling through the mean larger-scale flow
and crossing our region. In the process...these will interact with
and modulate the position of a low-level frontal zone draped across
the Great Lakes and Northeast...resulting in the latter wobbling
about across our region while also serving as the conduit for
occasional rounds of showers and isolated/scattered thunderstorms...
though there will also be frequent dry periods interspersed.
The first such wave will cross our region on Monday with fairly
widespread showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm across the
western Southern Tier...though instability looks to be pretty
limited at this juncture. The tight pressure gradient out ahead of
this wave also appears likely to support a period of breezy to windy
conditions Sunday night into Monday...with the windiest conditions
(gusts to 40 mph) most likely northeast of Lake Erie during Monday.
This first impulse will then be quickly followed by another wave
later Monday night/Tuesday...with the latter bringing another
likelihood of showers along with some scattered thunderstorms given
better instability. After that time...the increasingly distant
vantage point and inherent uncertainties in the timing of such waves
result in progressively lower confidence in the timing of any
showers/storms through the middle and latter portions of the week.
With respect to temperatures...this pattern will support readings
more typical of late springtime than the second week of April.
Expect daily highs to range from the upper 60s to the 70s away from
lake influences...with a few of our normal interior warm spots
(hello Dansville) possibly even reaching or breaking the 80 degree
mark at points if precip/cloud coverage allow. Meanwhile...nightly
lows initially ranging from the 40s east to upper 50s west Sunday
night will largely be in the 50s/lower 60s from Monday night
onward.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
For the 00Z TAFS VFR flight conditions are found with surface
high pressure slowly exiting to the east of the region.
The final 6 hours of the TAF cycle will see increasing chances
for a few rain showers (once the dry lower levels are overcome
with moisture advection) with greatest chances across central
and northern airfields.
Outlook...
Sunday night...Mainly VFR with scattered to numerous showers
dissipating overnight.
Monday through Thursday...VFR/MVFR (IFR at times) with a few
showers likely at times, along with a slight chance of
thunderstorms.
&&
.MARINE...
Surface high pressure centered over the central Great Lakes, will
continue to drift east this afternoon and overnight. As high
pressure pushes overhead, winds will gradually shift west this
afternoon and weaken to below 10 knots.
A freshening south to southwest winds will support Small Craft
Advisory conditions to return Sunday night and Monday.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...EAJ/JJR
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...EAJ
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